Vitalik Buterin, an early Polymarket backer, said prediction markets risk devolving into "corposlop" rather than having long-term financial utility.

To his credit, Kasy is a realist here. He doesn’t presume that any of these proposals will be easy to implement. Or that it will happen overnight, or even in the near future. The troubling question at ...

Major investments have allowed prediction market platforms to become mainstream venues for wagering on political decisions ...

Apps that let people wager on current events have experienced explosive growth in Trump's second term. But one of the leading markets is tied up in lawsuits that cloud the industry's future.

Prediction markets like Kalshi, which some liken to legalized gambling, allow investors to bet on reality. Here’s how they work and why they’re so controversial. Prediction markets let people trade on ...

This voice experience is generated by AI. Learn more. This voice experience is generated by AI. Learn more. Elon Musk is joined by other financial gurus who also predict universal wealth and a future ...

Mathematicians may have a better way to measure agreement across different datasets. Agreement affects reproducibility, meta-analysis, and prediction to fill in missing data points. We need a more ...

Here’s what you’ll learn when you read this story: Mathematicians may have a better way to measure agreement across different datasets. Agreement affects reproducibility, meta-analysis, and prediction ...