To his credit, Kasy is a realist here. He doesn’t presume that any of these proposals will be easy to implement. Or that it will happen overnight, or even in the near future. The troubling question at ...

Can AI forecast inflation? See what ChatGPT and Claude predicted about prices, tariffs and wallets -- as well as where experts say they missed the mark.

Vitalik Buterin, an early Polymarket backer, said prediction markets risk devolving into "corposlop" rather than having long-term financial utility.

At the end of 2024, no AI had even managed to place 100th in one of the major competitions. But they have since vaulted up the leaderboards. AIs have already proved that they can make superhuman ...

When we set our expectations and operate based on the sequence of events that unfolded the last time a similar situation has occurred, we surrender to history.

Picture this. It's the early 1970s, and futurists are sitting in wood-paneled offices predicting a world of flying cars, robot butlers, and meals in pill form. Most of those visions turned into ...

Apps that let people wager on current events have experienced explosive growth in Trump's second term. But one of the leading ...

Add Yahoo as a preferred source to see more of our stories on Google. It’s an almost irresistible human impulse this time of year for people to take stock of the year gone by and try to predict the ...